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WASHINGTON — The United States has launched its 12th straight night of strikes against Iranian military targets, escalating a sustained campaign aimed at degrading Tehran’s ability to threaten civilian mariners and commercial vessels transiting regional waters.
According to a statement posted on X by U.S. Central Command, U.S. forces began the latest wave of attacks at 5:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday at the Commander in Chief’s direction. The military emphasized that the ongoing mission is specifically designed to further degrade Iran’s capacity to disrupt maritime commerce and endanger shipping in the region.
Retired Marine intelligence officer and national security analyst Hal Kempfer noted that the military’s daily releases have remained nearly verbatim, consistently highlighting the degradation of Iran’s maritime domain awareness. The strikes have systematically targeted drone sites, missile installations, coastal radars, and command-and-control facilities used to track and target vessels.
Kempfer also highlighted that the campaign has expanded to include targets further inland. This includes strikes on critical infrastructure, such as bridges around the key port region of Bandar Abbas, aimed at severing supply chains. Additional strikes have been observed further south in the Jask region and other areas not directly tied to Iran’s immediate commercial shipping capabilities, suggesting a broader strategic objective. A persistent challenge remains Iran’s fleet of hundreds of small gunboats; while easily hidden and stored, the U.S. military is actively seeking to cause significant attrition among these vessels, which are frequently surged to attack commercial ships.
The sustained campaign coincides with new reporting from the Wall Street Journal indicating that the U.S. is actively surging forces, medics, and weaponry to the Middle East. This buildup is reportedly intended to provide President Trump with more muscular military options as he considers expanding the conflict against Iran.
Kempfer pointed out that the specific inclusion of medical personnel in the surge is a critical indicator. Unlike the deployment of aerial refuelers, which suggests extended air campaigns, an influx of medics anticipates higher casualties, a hallmark of potential boots-on-the-ground operations. This aligns with discussions regarding potential raids on a mountain facility suspected of housing nuclear material, as well as the deployment of special operations troops. These elite units could be utilized to neutralize defenses on various islands in the Persian Gulf or the Strait of Hormuz, paving the way for larger amphibious operations with minimal opposition.
Beyond the Persian Gulf, attention remains on the Bab el-Mandeb strait. Unconfirmed reports suggest Houthi forces claimed to have fired upon Saudi tankers in the area. While Kempfer noted that Houthi claims are often exaggerated, there are verified reports of Saudi tankers turning back. Ultimately, the deciding factor for commercial shipping is not just geopolitical posturing, but the risk assessments made by maritime insurance carriers like Lloyd’s of London. When premiums become prohibitively high due to perceived risk, shippers simply wait for conditions to calm.
Iran has reportedly been imploring the Houthis to maintain a blockade on Saudi shipping. Kempfer explained that this is a strategic move by Tehran to undercut Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline. The pipeline is currently running at full capacity, transporting oil to a Red Sea port. From there, the oil can be routed through the Suez Canal to Europe or loaded onto tankers bound for major Asian markets, including India, Japan, South Korea, and China, entirely bypassing the Bab el-Mandeb strait. Disrupting this route is a primary objective for Iranian-backed forces.
In a move widely viewed as a direct strategic countermeasure, the United States and Saudi Arabia recently finalized an agreement to develop the Kingdom’s civil nuclear capability, including uranium enrichment. Kempfer emphasized that the timing of this agreement is likely no coincidence, serving as a clear signal of both American and Saudi displeasure toward Iran. Furthermore, indications suggest that Saudi Arabia may soon uncork its own military capabilities, potentially launching concerted strikes against Houthi positions in Yemen to decisively neutralize the threat to regional maritime security.